Bond

Why Mortgage Rates Should Care About Bond Market Warning

After spiking in early January, interest rates returned to near-all-time-low levels by the middle of the week. By the end, however, the market began to flash a warning about more volatility ahead. The warning is fairly simple. It has to do with a pattern that’s been repeating in the bond market (the key ingredient in […]

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MBS Day Ahead: Friendly Bond Bounce Continues as 10s Target 1.0%

Posted To: MBS Commentary With 10yr yields breaking the 1.075% technical floor on Monday, the bond market added evidence to the case for a move back to 1.0%. Today's early gains make the evidence nearly overwhelming with yields less than half a basis point away at times. With the Fed coming up this afternoon, it […]

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Mortgage Rates Mostly Flat Despite Stronger Bond Market

Posted To: Mortgage Rate Watch Mortgage rates are mostly determined by the trading levels of mortgage-backed bonds on the open market. When those bonds improve, mortgage rates move lower, all other things being equal. For a variety of reasons, that typical relationship has been hit and miss on any given day since the pandemic began. […]

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Rates Ignore Trump’s Covid Diagnosis. Has The Bond Market Gone Crazy?

After weeks of incredibly subdued volatility, the bond market (which dictates rates) is starting to show some signs of life, but not for the same old reasons. Inflation? Inflation is one of the oldest and most significant reasons to freak out about interest rates. It was by far and away the dominant source of drama […]

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